The 4.2% unemployment rate sits well within the healthy historic norm. One key labor market recession indicator is the Sahm rule, which holds that when the three-month average of the unemployment rate ...

A common definition of a recession is two straight quarters of negative economic growth. But that’s an inherently backward ...

Global recession risks have shot back up markets' worry list, but the readout from economic data and key financial indicators is not as clear cut as it first appears. A 90-day pause on most reciprocal ...

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague ...

Doug Ramsey says deteriorating consumer sentiment is a sign that the US risks a "self-fulfilling confidence collapse." ...

Key economic indicators like GDP and consumer spending show mixed signals ... Economists have been warning for months that President Donald Trump's tariff policies would trigger a recession — and they ...

Recession indicators are everywhere ... has been called a 'vibesession.' "Nominal GDP is key to understanding credit spreads because it represents the amount of cash available in the economy ...

As President Donald Trump’s oft-changing tariff policies work their way through the economy, fears of a downturn pervade Main Street and Wall Street, with odds of the U.S. facing a recession ...

LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - Global recession risks have shot back up markets' worry list, but the readout from economic data and key financial indicators is not as clear cut as it first appears.

Key economic indicators like GDP and consumer spending ... that President Donald Trump's tariff policies would trigger a recession — and they still might — but fresh indicators suggest a ...