The 4.2% unemployment rate sits well within the healthy historic norm. One key labor market recession indicator is the Sahm rule, which holds that when the three-month average of the unemployment rate rises by 0.5% compared to the lowest of three-month ...

A common definition of a recession is two straight quarters of negative economic growth. But that’s an inherently backward way of viewing the economy. For that reason, many analysts keep an eye on certain indicators that signal a recession is brewing, including changes in the unemployment rate.

Official recession calls are the responsibility of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, which is understandably vague about the specific indicators on which they base their decisions. This committee statement is about as close as they get to identifying their method.

Key economic indicators like GDP and consumer spending show mixed signals ... Economists have been warning for months that President Donald Trump's tariff policies would trigger a recession — and they still might — but fresh indicators suggest a ...

“It's unknown whether that response will turn into a recession; we’ll have to wait and see,” said Dina El Mahdy, an accounting professor at Morgan State University, saying key indicators ...

LONDON, May 8 (Reuters) - Global recession risks have shot back up markets' worry list, but the readout from economic data and key financial indicators is not as clear cut as it first appears.

Doug Ramsey says deteriorating consumer sentiment is a sign that the US risks a "self-fulfilling confidence collapse."

A new report has revealed that many highly populated US states are least prepared to handle a recession, based on key economic indicators. Tariff-driven uncertainty has hurt markets and sparked fears,